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Frederick
Lewis Allen : CRASH!
[From
Frederick Lewis Allen, Only Yesterday, New York, 1931]
Things
looked somewhat better on Friday and Saturday. Trading was still on
an enormous scale, but prices for the most part held. At the very moment
when the bankers pool was cautiously disposing of as much as possible
of the stock which it had accumulated on Thursday and was thus preparing
for future emergencies, traders who had sold out higher up were coming
back into the market again with new purchases, in the hope that the
bottom had been reached. (Hadnt they often been told that "the
time to buy is when things look blackest"?) The newspapers carried
a very pretty series of reassuring statements from the occupants of
the seats of the mighty;
Herbert Hoover himself, in a White House statement, pointed out that
"the fundamental business of the country, that is, production and
distribution of commodities, is on a sound and prosperous basis."
But toward the close of Saturdays session prices began to slip
again. And on Monday the rout was under way once more.
The losses registered on Monday were terrific17½ points for Steel,
47½ for General Electric, 36 for Allied Chemical, 34½ for Westinghouse,
and so on down a long and dismal list. All Saturday afternoon and Saturday
night and Sunday the brokers had been struggling to post their records
and go over their customers accounts and sent out calls for further
margin, and another avalanche of forced selling resulted. The prices
at which Mr. Whitneys purchases had steadied the leading
stocks on Thursday were so readily broken through that it was immediately
clear that the bankers pool had made a strategic retreat. As a
matter of fact, the brokers who represented the pool were having their
hands full plugging up the "air-holes" in the listin
other words, buying stocks which were offered for sale without any bids
at all in sight. Nothing more than this could have been accomplished,
even if it could have been wisely attempted. Even six great banks could
hardly stem the flow of liquidation from the entire United States. They
could only guide it a little, check it momentarily here and there.
Once more the ticker dropped ridiculously far behind, the lights in
the brokers offices and the banks burned till dawn, and the telegraph
companies distributed thousands of margin calls and requests for more
collateral to back up loans at the banks. Bankers, brokers, clerks,
messengers were almost at the end of their strength; for days and nights
they had been driving themselves to keep pace with the most terrific
volume of business that had ever descended upon them. It did not seem
as if they could stand it much longer.
But the worst was still ahead. It came the next day, Tuesday, October
29th.
The big gong had hardly sounded in the great hall of the Exchange at
ten oclock Tuesday morning before the storm broke in full force.
Huge blocks of stock were thrown upon the market for what they would
bring. Five thousand shares, ten thousand shares appeared at a time
on the laboring ticker at fearful recessions in price. Not only were
innumerable small traders being sold out, but big ones, too, protagonists
of the new economic era who a few weeks before had counted themselves
millionaires. Again and again the specialist in a stock would find himself
surrounded by brokers fighting to sell-and nobody at all even thinking
of buying. To give one single example: during the bull market the common
stock of the White Sewing Machine Company had gone as high as 48; on
Monday, October 28th, it had closed at 11-1/8 . On that black Tuesday,
somebodya clever messenger boy for the Exchange, it was rumoredhad
the bright idea of putting in an order to buy at 1and in the temporarily
complete absence of other bids he actually got his stock for a dollar
a share! The scene on the floor was chaotic. Despite the
jamming of the communication system, orders to buy and sell-mostly to
sell-came in faster than human beings could possibly handle them; it
was on that day that an exhausted broker, at the close of the session,
found a large waste-basket which he had stuffed with orders to be executed
and had carefully set aside for safe-keeping and then had completely
forgotten. Within half an hour of the opening the volume of trading
had passed three million shares, by twelve oclock it had passed
eight million, by half-past one it had passed twelve million, and when
the closing gong brought the days madness to an end the gigantic
record of 16,410,030 shares had been set. Toward the close there was
a rally, but by that time the average prices of fifty leading stocks,
as compiled by the New York Times, had fallen nearly forty points. Meanwhile
there was a near-panic in other markets-the foreign stock exchanges,
the lesser American exchanges, the grain market.
So complete was the demoralization of the stock market and so exhausted
were the brokers and their staffs and the Stock Exchange employees,
that at noon that day, when the panic was at its worst, the Governing
Committee met quietly to decide whether or not to close the Exchange.
To quote from an address made some months later by Richard Whitney:
"In order not to give occasion for alarming rumors, this meeting
was not held in the Governing Committee Room, but in the office of the
president of the Stock Clearing Corporation directly beneath the Stock
Exchange floor. . . . The forty governors came to the meeting in groups
of two and three as unobtrusively as possible. The office they met in
was never designed for large meetings of this sort, with the result
that most of the governors were compelled to stand, or to sit on tables.
As the meeting progressed, panic was raging overhead on the floor. .
. . The feeling of those present was revealed by their habit of continually
lighting cigarettes, taking a puff or two, putting them out and lighting
new ones-a practice which soon made the narrow room blue with smoke.
. . ." Two of the Morgan partners were invited to the meeting and,
attempting to slip into the building unnoticed so as not to start a
new flock of rumors, were refused admittance by one of the guards and
had to remain outside until rescued by a member of the Governing Committee.
After some deliberation, the governors finally decided not to close
the Exchange.
It was a critical day for the banks, that Tuesday the 29th. Many of
the corporations which had so cheerfully loaned money to brokers through
the banks in order to obtain interest at 8 or 9 per cent were now clamoring
to have these loans called-and the banks were faced with a choice between
taking over the loans themselves and running the risk of precipitating
further ruin. It was no laughing matter to assume the responsibility
of millions of dollars worth of loans secured by collateral which
by the end of the day might prove to have dropped to a fraction of its
former value. That the call money rate never rose above 6 per cent that
day, that a money panic was not added to the stock panic, and that several
Wall Street institutions did not go down into immediate bankruptcy,
was due largely to the nerve shown by a few bankers in stepping into
the breach. The story is told of one banker who went grimly on authorizing
the taking over of loan after loan until one of his subordinate officers
came in with a white face and told him that the bank was insolvent.
"I dare say," said the banker, and went ahead unmoved. He
knew that if he did not, more than one concern would face insolvency.
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